Turkey forced to be difficult in the Russian Ukraine crisis

Menex Sekai

Ankala: Russia has launched a bombing and ground attack on Ukraine, and NATO member Turkey has been in a delicate position in maintaining good relationships with both countries.

Turkey manages the important route in such a crisis and the Dardanels Strait and is an essential partner for the western countries.

Ukraine has requested Turkey to close the strikes on the 24th to the Russian ships.

Turkey, which is in contact with Ukraine and Russia in the sea border, has been given legal authority to manage both straits by the 1936 Montoru Treaty and restricts the traffic of warships that do not belong to the country in contact with the Black Sea.It has a right.

If there is a threat to the war or invasion, Turkey can prohibit all foreign warships through the straits, while dispatching ships, 15 days before the country other than the Black Sea coast and 8 days ago., We must notify the Turkish government.

If the Torco government refuses to access the Black Sea to the Black Sea to Russia, Sonel Kagaptai, the director of the Washington Research Institute Turkey Program, will be a marine rule shared by Turkey and Russia.He believes that the deterioration of the situation is inevitable.

"In that case, Russia will ask for a review of the Montreou Treaty, and Turkey will never get the same conditions (with the Montreou system), which is why the Turkish government does not violate the current treaty.Kagaptai told Arab News.

How Turkey plays the gate -bodied role of the strait will be a touchstone that tests the country's neutral posture against Russia and Ukraine.

Turkish President Turkish President Legep Tip Erdogan states that Turkey will not abandon both Russia and Ukraine.

"In recent years, Turkey has established an important strategic relationship with both countries and is currently not in a position to sacrifice the relationship with Ukraine and Russia," said Marmala University in Istanbul, a Russian Turkish specialist.Professor Emle Elsen tells Arab News.

"Therefore, it is likely that Turkey will continue to seek the immediate diplomatic solution of the dispute."

At the same time, Elsen also sees the Turkish government will strictly implement the Montoru Treaty clause.This treaty is given in the current crisis, keeping it neutral without getting on either side.

Turkey, which is in a difficult position, is closely related to Ukraine in the defense industry, sells its own drones to Ukraine and is currently trading in joint manufacturing, while Gas and defense procurement in Russia.It depends greatly on the side.

Turkey has raised about 33 % of natural gas and about 66 % of wheat from Russia.

Soon the tourist season is about to come, but tourists from Ukraine and Russia have traditionally occupied nearly one -fifth of Turkish total viewers.

However, the Turkish government has officially stated that Russia's actions for Ukraine are unacceptable, but has a position in which President Ibrahim Karin has recently said no sanctions on Russia.They are aiming for gradual easing by diplomatic means and dialogue.

Idun Sesel, an analyst of Russian situation living in Ankara, has said that Turkey has been in a moderate attitude to encourage the Ukrainian crisis to follow the common sense.

"But in the past year, Turkey has taken a clear parent Ukraine position, so Russia will be more cautious and skeptical of Turkey's diplomatic movement."Sesel told Arab News.

According to Sesel, if Turkey opened a waterway to the Black Sea to fleets in the western countries or shared information about the threats from the sky with the sky, Russia was the reason for the war (Casus Belli).In other words, it will be regarded as a reason for justification of war.

The Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs has emphasized Ukrainian territorial conservation in a statement on Tuesday to stop Russia immediately to stop "unfair and illegal behavior."

According to the Montreou Treaty, the aircraft carrier will also obtain the Turkish government permission when passing through the Bosporas Strait and Dardanels Strait.

However, Elsen's view is that it is much more difficult for Turkey to take a middle -dominated policy between Russia and the west, compared to the 2008 Russian Georgian War (South Ocktia conflict).

When Russia was in military intervention in Georgia in 2008, Turkey refused to enter a large US military ship into the Black Sea under the Montoru Treaty.

"There is no doubt that NATO member countries, which are alliance with Turkey, will increase pressure to review the special relationship with the Turkish government. This is especially troublesome problems such as Syria Civil War and Russian Misile S-400.Elsen pointed out that it could have a significant impact on the relationship between Turkey and Russia.

Despite being nervous with NATO by purchasing a Russian defense system, Turkey has regained the importance of supporting Ukraine in the alliance with the countries.

Samuel Ramani, an associate fellow of the British Royal Defense Security Research Institute, believes that Turkey is trying to show NATO's consensus by supporting Ukraine's territorial conservation.

"Turkey has seen Ukraine as an important partner since 2010, because Ukraine has enhanced its status as a great country in the Turkish black sea area, and provides useful business transactions, especially in fields such as munitions and drones.Lamani told Arab News.

He also added:"In this crisis, Turkey tried to show NATO's value to NATO by complementing France's what France is doing and playing a role as a consultation.Has not done so far, and the United States is skeptical of the role of Turkey. "

According to Ramani, Turkey needs to cooperate with the Russian government in some other regions, including Syria, Libya, and South Caucasus, so he still supports diplomatic solutions and continues to oppose sanctions on Russia.It is said.

"However, Turkey will use the status based on the Montreou Treaty to strengthen the image as a country that contributes to the security of the Black Sea, and if there is a request, you can sell drones to Ukraine," says Ramani. It pointed out.